Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
34.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1982 |
FCN
2 - 2
F95
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1982 |
F95
0 - 0
BVB
50%
23%
27%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1982 |
KAI
1 - 1
F95
73%
16%
12%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1982 |
F95
1 - 1
EBT
56%
22%
23%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1982 |
KSC
1 - 0
F95
52%
23%
25%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1982 |
KOL
4 - 2
BRE
65%
19%
16%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1982 |
DAR
2 - 4
KOL
31%
25%
44%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1982 |
KOL
5 - 2
LEV
74%
16%
11%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1982 |
BYM
1 - 1
KOL
77%
14%
9%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1982 |
KOL
0 - 1
ARB
72%
16%
11%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | -1 |