Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
28%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1980 |
MSV
0 - 2
F95
42%
26%
32%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1980 |
F95
4 - 0
HER
64%
20%
16%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1980 |
BYM
6 - 0
F95
71%
17%
12%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1980 |
F95
3 - 1
BVB
61%
20%
19%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1980 |
F95
1 - 4
MON
52%
23%
25%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1980 |
KOL
1 - 0
KFC
79%
13%
8%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1980 |
BRE
0 - 5
KOL
34%
25%
42%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1980 |
RTV
2 - 0
KOL
28%
26%
46%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1980 |
S04
0 - 2
KOL
38%
26%
37%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1980 |
KOL
2 - 2
EIN
68%
18%
14%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |