Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
36.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1976 |
TEN
4 - 2
F95
44%
25%
31%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1976 |
F95
1 - 3
EBT
56%
23%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 1976 |
BYM
2 - 1
F95
76%
15%
10%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1976 |
F95
3 - 1
EIN
89%
8%
4%
|
81 | 36 | 45 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1976 |
HSV
3 - 1
F95
64%
20%
16%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1976 |
KOL
2 - 0
EIN
51%
22%
27%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1976 |
ROT
0 - 3
KOL
46%
22%
32%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1976 |
KOL
3 - 1
KAI
58%
20%
22%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1976 |
ITZ
0 - 7
KOL
16%
19%
66%
|
84 | 36 | 48 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 1976 |
KOL
1 - 2
RVO
84%
10%
6%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | -1 |