Fortuna Düsseldorf U19 vs Rot-Weiss Essen U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
30.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
2º
7º
3º
6
4º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
18 | 40 |
1º
|
95.5% | |
|
2º
|
12 | 31 |
2º
|
84% | |
|
|
3º
|
10 | 24 |
3º
|
48.5% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 19 |
4º
|
36% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 15 |
5º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
6 | 14 |
6º
|
24% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 14 |
7º
|
24% | |
|
7º
|
3 | 7 |
8º
|
89% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
PRE
2 - 2
FOR
35%
23%
42%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
SCH
3 - 2
FOR
71%
17%
12%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
FOR
2 - 1
SCV
75%
15%
10%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
FOR
0 - 2
KOL
26%
22%
52%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
BOC
1 - 0
FOR
50%
22%
29%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
ESS
6 - 1
MEP
31%
22%
48%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
BOR
5 - 0
ESS
89%
8%
3%
|
14 | 35 | 21 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
ESS
5 - 2
SVS
11%
16%
73%
|
12 | 37 | 25 | +2 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
ING
6 - 1
ESS
76%
16%
9%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2023 |
MEP
3 - 2
ESS
72%
16%
12%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | -1 |