Fortuna Düsseldorf U19 vs Rot-Weiss Essen U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.4%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
9.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-62%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
4º
10º
4º
9
9º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
37 | 37 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 35 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 34 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
26 | 26 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 23 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 22 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 22 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
9 | 9 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 5 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
SCH
0 - 1
FOR
76%
15%
9%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
FOR
0 - 4
MON
45%
24%
31%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
RWO
0 - 1
FOR
26%
22%
52%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
FOR
1 - 1
BOC
33%
25%
42%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
FOR
0 - 0
BOR
5%
11%
84%
|
16 | 38 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
ESS
1 - 5
SCP
25%
22%
53%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
SCV
3 - 2
ESS
81%
12%
7%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
ESS
1 - 1
HIL
67%
18%
15%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
LEV
2 - 1
ESS
80%
13%
7%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
ESS
0 - 2
KOL
10%
16%
74%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | 0 |