Fortuna Düsseldorf U19 vs MSV Duisburg U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
19.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-47%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
2º
4º
3º
9
6º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 38 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 32 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
32 | 32 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 16 |
4º
|
52.5% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 14 |
5º
|
52.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
9 | 12 |
6º
|
89% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 8 |
7º
|
73.5% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 7 |
8º
|
73.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
ESS
1 - 3
FOR
20%
21%
59%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
FOR
5 - 0
PRE
63%
19%
18%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
SCH
3 - 1
FOR
66%
19%
16%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
FOR
0 - 6
BOR
10%
15%
75%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2024 |
FOR
1 - 0
SCH
24%
22%
54%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
DUI
0 - 6
BOR
7%
13%
80%
|
17 | 40 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
MER
3 - 3
DUI
13%
17%
70%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
DUI
2 - 1
MEP
56%
20%
23%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
ESS
1 - 1
DUI
31%
23%
46%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
DUI
0 - 4
SCH
23%
22%
55%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | -1 |