Fortuna Chemnitz vs Rot-Weiß Erfurt II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.4%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
50.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Chemnitz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
CAR
4 - 0
FCH
59%
21%
21%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
FCH
0 - 2
LOK
40%
24%
36%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -3 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
VFL
0 - 4
FCH
27%
23%
50%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
FCH
2 - 0
LUC
48%
22%
30%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +2 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
WAG
1 - 3
FCH
39%
24%
38%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Rot-Weiß Erfurt II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
ROT
0 - 4
HAL
15%
23%
62%
|
37 | 64 | 27 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
ROT
0 - 4
ERZ
69%
19%
12%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
GRU
2 - 4
ROT
10%
17%
73%
|
38 | 15 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
ROT
1 - 1
ZWI
34%
27%
39%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
BUD
0 - 2
ROT
33%
25%
41%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |