Fortuna Chemnitz vs Heidenauer SV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
30.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Chemnitz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
FCH
3 - 2
ERZ
51%
22%
26%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
HAL
2 - 0
FCH
83%
13%
5%
|
26 | 65 | 39 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
FCH
1 - 3
WAG
68%
18%
14%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
DYN
5 - 0
FCH
61%
20%
19%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
FCH
4 - 0
GRU
59%
21%
21%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Heidenauer SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
HEI
2 - 0
HAL
14%
22%
65%
|
25 | 64 | 39 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2012 |
MAR
3 - 1
HEI
71%
17%
12%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
HEI
2 - 1
BUD
28%
25%
47%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | +2 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
WAC
1 - 0
HEI
77%
14%
9%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
HEI
3 - 1
VFL
40%
24%
36%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +2 |