Fortuna Chemnitz vs Erzgebirge Aue II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
45%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Chemnitz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
GRU
3 - 3
FCH
15%
20%
64%
|
24 | 13 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
FCH
3 - 1
ROT
18%
21%
61%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | +3 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
ZWI
6 - 1
FCH
78%
14%
8%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
FCH
1 - 1
BUD
20%
24%
56%
|
20 | 40 | 20 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
CHE
3 - 4
FCH
79%
14%
8%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
ERZ
2 - 2
DYN
32%
24%
44%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2011 |
ERZ
5 - 0
LOK
52%
23%
25%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
CAR
4 - 0
ERZ
49%
23%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
VFL
1 - 6
ERZ
42%
25%
33%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
ERZ
3 - 4
LUC
45%
24%
31%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -1 |