Fortuna Chemnitz vs Auerbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.9%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
69%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Chemnitz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
DYN
4 - 1
FCH
80%
13%
7%
|
18 | 40 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
FCH
1 - 1
CAR
19%
21%
60%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2003 |
FCH
0 - 2
WAG
50%
25%
25%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -7 |
| 25 May. 2003 |
OBE
4 - 2
FCH
65%
20%
15%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2003 |
FCH
0 - 2
ENE
26%
27%
47%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Auerbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
AUE
4 - 3
DYN
52%
24%
25%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
CAR
3 - 3
AUE
21%
23%
56%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
AUE
1 - 0
LOK
71%
18%
11%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
BUD
4 - 2
AUE
28%
26%
46%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -2 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
AUE
3 - 0
WAG
77%
15%
8%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | 0 |