Fortuna 54 vs Xerxes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
19.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna 54
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 1966 |
ADO
2 - 0
FOR
70%
17%
13%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1966 |
FOR
4 - 3
SPA
50%
25%
26%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +2 |
| 19 May. 1966 |
HER
1 - 1
FOR
47%
24%
28%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 May. 1966 |
FOR
0 - 4
GAE
50%
25%
26%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 May. 1966 |
TEL
3 - 0
FOR
39%
25%
35%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Xerxes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 1966 |
XER
2 - 3
GRO
45%
25%
30%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |