Fortuna 54 vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
23.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna 54
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1963 |
VVD
0 - 2
FOR
66%
19%
16%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1963 |
FOR
2 - 2
DVO
65%
18%
17%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1963 |
FCB
5 - 0
FOR
56%
22%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 May. 1963 |
FOR
2 - 2
ENS
47%
23%
30%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1963 |
SPA
2 - 0
FOR
67%
18%
15%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1963 |
WIL
0 - 2
PSV
34%
23%
43%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1963 |
FEY
3 - 2
WIL
77%
13%
9%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | -1 |
| 12 May. 1963 |
VVD
0 - 0
WIL
67%
18%
15%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 May. 1963 |
WIL
3 - 1
DVO
71%
17%
13%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1963 |
FCB
2 - 3
WIL
55%
21%
24%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |