Fortuna 54 vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
18.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna 54
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1960 |
ELI
0 - 0
FOR
41%
24%
36%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1960 |
FOR
2 - 3
AJA
36%
22%
42%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1960 |
PSV
4 - 1
FOR
59%
20%
21%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1960 |
FOR
1 - 4
FEY
41%
23%
36%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1960 |
VVV
0 - 0
FOR
51%
22%
27%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1960 |
NAC
2 - 1
WIL
62%
19%
19%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1960 |
WIL
4 - 1
ELI
68%
17%
15%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 1960 |
AJA
6 - 0
WIL
69%
17%
14%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1960 |
WIL
3 - 2
PSV
45%
22%
33%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1960 |
FEY
7 - 1
WIL
79%
12%
9%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |