Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 3-5
Fortuna 54 vs Torino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
20.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna 54
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1964 |
ADO
1 - 2
FOR
54%
22%
24%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1964 |
TOR
3 - 1
FOR
61%
20%
19%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1964 |
FOR
2 - 1
GAE
57%
21%
22%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1964 |
ENS
0 - 0
FOR
62%
20%
19%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1964 |
FOR
2 - 4
VVD
53%
23%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Torino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1964 |
ACM
1 - 1
TOR
77%
15%
8%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1964 |
TOR
1 - 1
ATL
58%
23%
18%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1964 |
TOR
3 - 1
FOR
61%
20%
19%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1964 |
VAR
2 - 0
TOR
40%
26%
34%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1964 |
TOR
2 - 0
MAN
60%
22%
18%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |