Fortuna 54 vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
27.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna 54
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1967 |
SPA
1 - 1
FOR
70%
19%
11%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1967 |
PSV
1 - 1
FOR
72%
17%
11%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1967 |
FOR
4 - 2
TWE
51%
23%
26%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 1967 |
MVV
2 - 0
FOR
54%
24%
22%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1967 |
FOR
2 - 1
SIT
62%
21%
17%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1967 |
NEC
2 - 1
NAC
59%
21%
20%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1967 |
AJA
9 - 1
NEC
87%
8%
5%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1967 |
GRO
0 - 0
NEC
54%
20%
25%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1967 |
NEC
3 - 1
SPA
50%
22%
28%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1967 |
XER
2 - 1
NEC
44%
25%
31%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |