Fortuna 54 vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
26%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna 54
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1965 |
SPA
1 - 0
FOR
52%
23%
25%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1965 |
VVD
0 - 3
FOR
53%
23%
24%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 1965 |
FOR
0 - 0
MVV
56%
22%
22%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1965 |
DWS
0 - 2
FOR
64%
19%
16%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 1965 |
FOR
2 - 3
ADO
57%
22%
21%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1965 |
NAC
1 - 0
FEY
25%
25%
51%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1965 |
NAC
0 - 0
HER
50%
24%
26%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1965 |
PSV
1 - 0
NAC
64%
19%
17%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1965 |
NAC
1 - 0
GRO
51%
25%
24%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 1965 |
AJA
3 - 0
NAC
65%
18%
17%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |