Fortuna 54 vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
31.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna 54
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1963 |
ADO
3 - 0
FOR
52%
23%
26%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1963 |
FOR
2 - 2
VOL
56%
21%
24%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1962 |
HER
0 - 4
FOR
53%
22%
25%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 1962 |
FOR
1 - 0
AJA
29%
22%
49%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 1962 |
FOR
3 - 2
FEY
27%
24%
49%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1963 |
NAC
3 - 3
PSV
37%
24%
39%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1963 |
WIL
2 - 3
NAC
47%
23%
30%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 1962 |
NAC
2 - 1
DVO
61%
20%
19%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1962 |
VVD
1 - 3
NAC
59%
20%
22%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 1962 |
FCB
1 - 1
NAC
50%
22%
29%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |