Fortuna 54 vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
25.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna 54
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 1963 |
FEY
1 - 0
FOR
77%
14%
9%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1963 |
FOR
1 - 1
GRO
50%
24%
26%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1963 |
DWS
6 - 0
FOR
48%
24%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 1963 |
VVD
2 - 1
FOR
57%
21%
22%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 1963 |
FOR
2 - 0
ADO
51%
23%
26%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 1963 |
HER
1 - 1
ADO
55%
21%
24%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1963 |
NAC
5 - 0
HER
64%
18%
18%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1963 |
HER
1 - 1
GAE
61%
20%
20%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1963 |
ENS
3 - 1
HER
60%
20%
20%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1963 |
HER
1 - 0
SPA
57%
22%
22%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |