Fortuna 54 vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
22.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna 54
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 1963 |
FEY
2 - 1
FOR
79%
13%
8%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1963 |
PSV
1 - 0
FOR
73%
16%
12%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 May. 1963 |
FOR
1 - 4
WIL
55%
21%
24%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 May. 1963 |
VVD
0 - 2
FOR
66%
19%
16%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 May. 1963 |
FOR
2 - 2
DVO
65%
18%
17%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 1963 |
HER
2 - 2
PSV
31%
22%
48%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1963 |
WIL
1 - 0
HER
58%
21%
22%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1963 |
HER
2 - 1
VVD
43%
21%
36%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1963 |
DVO
3 - 4
HER
54%
22%
24%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 May. 1963 |
HER
4 - 3
FCB
49%
22%
29%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |