Fortuna 54 vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
22.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna 54
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1967 |
NAC
2 - 2
FOR
55%
24%
22%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1967 |
FOR
2 - 0
ELI
70%
17%
13%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 1967 |
XER
2 - 2
FOR
55%
23%
22%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1966 |
FOR
1 - 3
ADO
33%
24%
43%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 1966 |
TEL
2 - 0
FOR
44%
25%
32%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1967 |
TWE
1 - 1
GRO
50%
24%
26%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1967 |
AJA
6 - 1
TWE
87%
8%
5%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 1967 |
TWE
1 - 1
FEY
24%
22%
54%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 1966 |
GAE
1 - 0
TWE
63%
18%
19%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 1966 |
VVD
2 - 1
TWE
56%
22%
22%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |