Fortuna 54 vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
30.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna 54
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1965 |
WIL
0 - 2
FOR
53%
23%
24%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1965 |
FOR
0 - 0
GRO
57%
22%
21%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1965 |
ADO
1 - 1
FOR
56%
22%
22%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1965 |
VVD
2 - 2
FOR
53%
23%
24%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1965 |
FOR
1 - 3
DWS
40%
25%
35%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1965 |
TWE
0 - 3
DWS
51%
22%
27%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1965 |
SPA
3 - 4
TWE
48%
22%
30%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1965 |
TWE
4 - 1
HER
65%
19%
15%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 1965 |
GAE
2 - 0
TWE
39%
23%
39%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 1965 |
TWE
1 - 1
TEL
67%
19%
14%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |