Fortuna 54 vs Elinkwijk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
12.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna 54
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1961 |
AJA
7 - 4
FOR
70%
17%
14%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1961 |
FOR
0 - 5
PSV
46%
22%
32%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 1961 |
FEY
1 - 1
FOR
78%
13%
9%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1961 |
FOR
0 - 3
VVV
53%
22%
25%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1961 |
RAP
2 - 1
FOR
54%
22%
25%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Elinkwijk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1961 |
ELI
1 - 4
WIL
51%
23%
26%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1961 |
ELI
1 - 2
NAC
36%
23%
41%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1961 |
AJA
6 - 1
ELI
79%
14%
8%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 1961 |
ELI
3 - 2
PSV
34%
23%
43%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 1961 |
FEY
3 - 1
ELI
87%
8%
4%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | 0 |