Fortuna 54 vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
55.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna 54
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1967 |
FEY
3 - 0
FOR
81%
13%
7%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1967 |
FOR
1 - 1
GAE
37%
27%
36%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1967 |
VVD
1 - 0
FOR
55%
22%
22%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 1967 |
FOR
1 - 1
WIL
67%
18%
15%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1967 |
PSV
2 - 2
FOR
70%
18%
13%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1967 |
AJA
0 - 1
GRO
85%
10%
5%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1967 |
AJA
4 - 0
WIL
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1967 |
TEL
0 - 3
AJA
17%
19%
64%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1967 |
FEY
1 - 1
AJA
53%
22%
25%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1967 |
AJA
4 - 1
GAE
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |