Cosenza Calcio vs US Alessandria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
25.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosenza Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 1961 |
COS
3 - 0
COM
54%
23%
23%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1961 |
ASS
0 - 0
COS
66%
20%
15%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1961 |
PAR
2 - 0
COS
58%
23%
20%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 1961 |
COS
1 - 1
ACP
50%
24%
26%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 1961 |
COS
1 - 0
SSS
59%
21%
21%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
US Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 1961 |
FCC
2 - 0
USA
53%
24%
23%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1961 |
USA
3 - 2
MES
57%
25%
19%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 1961 |
VER
2 - 0
USA
61%
22%
18%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 1961 |
USA
1 - 1
BAR
49%
25%
26%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1961 |
ASS
1 - 1
USA
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |