Cosenza Calcio vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
27.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosenza Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1962 |
COS
1 - 0
MES
46%
26%
28%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1962 |
FCC
1 - 1
COS
67%
20%
14%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1962 |
BAR
2 - 0
COS
66%
21%
13%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1962 |
COS
0 - 1
VER
46%
26%
28%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 1962 |
COS
0 - 1
REG
44%
24%
32%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1962 |
FCC
2 - 2
NOV
55%
24%
20%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1962 |
NOV
0 - 0
MOD
57%
24%
19%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1962 |
COM
1 - 1
NOV
51%
26%
23%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1962 |
USA
2 - 0
NOV
56%
25%
20%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 1962 |
NOV
2 - 1
BRE
56%
25%
20%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |