Cosenza Calcio vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
28.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosenza Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 1961 |
GEN
2 - 0
COS
70%
18%
12%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1961 |
ASL
3 - 0
COS
60%
20%
20%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 1961 |
COS
1 - 0
USA
51%
24%
25%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1961 |
COS
3 - 0
COM
54%
23%
23%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +2 |
| 26 Nov. 1961 |
ASS
0 - 0
COS
66%
20%
15%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 1961 |
NAP
4 - 3
USA
59%
24%
17%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1961 |
PRO
2 - 1
NAP
52%
26%
23%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1961 |
NAP
0 - 0
ASS
65%
22%
13%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 1961 |
GEN
3 - 1
NAP
54%
24%
22%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1961 |
REG
2 - 1
NAP
53%
23%
24%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |