Cosenza Calcio vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
23.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosenza Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 1961 |
COS
1 - 1
NAP
46%
25%
29%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1961 |
GEN
2 - 0
COS
70%
18%
12%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1961 |
ASL
3 - 0
COS
60%
20%
20%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 1961 |
COS
1 - 0
USA
51%
24%
25%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1961 |
COS
3 - 0
COM
54%
23%
23%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 1961 |
FCC
2 - 2
MOD
59%
23%
18%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1961 |
MOD
1 - 3
ASS
56%
26%
18%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 1961 |
MOD
1 - 0
VER
50%
27%
23%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1961 |
PAR
0 - 0
MOD
49%
27%
24%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1961 |
MOD
1 - 0
BRE
48%
27%
25%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |