Cosenza Calcio vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
28.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosenza Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1962 |
FCC
1 - 1
COS
67%
20%
14%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1962 |
BAR
2 - 0
COS
66%
21%
13%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1962 |
COS
0 - 1
VER
46%
26%
28%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 1962 |
COS
0 - 1
REG
44%
24%
32%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1962 |
LAZ
3 - 0
COS
73%
17%
10%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1962 |
ASL
2 - 1
MES
51%
26%
23%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1962 |
MES
5 - 1
FCC
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 1962 |
MES
0 - 0
REG
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1962 |
GEN
3 - 0
MES
63%
21%
16%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 1962 |
ACP
0 - 0
MES
51%
26%
22%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |