Cosenza Calcio vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
25.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosenza Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1995 |
FIA
1 - 1
COS
43%
28%
29%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1995 |
COS
2 - 2
PRG
50%
29%
22%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1995 |
PIS
1 - 1
COS
32%
30%
38%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1995 |
COS
1 - 1
GEN
21%
30%
50%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1995 |
REG
0 - 0
COS
39%
29%
33%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1995 |
ASL
1 - 1
SAL
47%
27%
26%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1995 |
VNZ
0 - 0
ASL
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1995 |
ASL
4 - 3
CES
47%
27%
26%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 1995 |
PRG
5 - 0
ASL
48%
27%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -2 |
| 15 Oct. 1995 |
ASL
0 - 1
PES
47%
25%
27%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |