Cosenza Calcio vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.7%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
28.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosenza Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1995 |
UDI
1 - 0
COS
70%
19%
12%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1995 |
COS
1 - 1
PIA
30%
33%
37%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1995 |
VNZ
2 - 3
COS
56%
25%
19%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1995 |
COS
1 - 0
ACI
55%
28%
18%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 1995 |
ATL
1 - 0
COS
65%
22%
14%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1995 |
ASL
1 - 1
CES
49%
28%
23%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1995 |
PRG
1 - 1
ASL
39%
30%
31%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1995 |
ASL
5 - 1
ASC
50%
27%
23%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 1995 |
PIA
1 - 1
ASL
68%
20%
13%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1995 |
ASL
1 - 1
SAL
55%
25%
20%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |