Cosenza Calcio vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.3%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
24.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosenza Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1991 |
CES
1 - 0
COS
58%
24%
18%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1991 |
PAD
3 - 0
COS
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 1991 |
COS
0 - 0
MES
45%
28%
27%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1991 |
BRE
1 - 1
COS
46%
28%
26%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1991 |
COS
2 - 0
PIA
54%
27%
19%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1991 |
ASL
0 - 0
MES
50%
27%
23%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1991 |
BRE
2 - 2
ASL
51%
28%
20%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1991 |
ASL
1 - 1
PIS
36%
30%
34%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1991 |
MOD
1 - 1
ASL
51%
27%
22%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1991 |
ASL
0 - 0
ANC
46%
28%
26%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |