Cosenza Calcio vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
25.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosenza Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1961 |
COS
1 - 0
BAR
46%
26%
28%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1961 |
VER
3 - 0
COS
69%
18%
13%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1961 |
REG
1 - 0
COS
72%
16%
11%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1961 |
COS
2 - 2
LAZ
43%
25%
32%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 1961 |
MES
2 - 1
COS
56%
21%
24%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1961 |
FCC
0 - 0
MES
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1961 |
FCC
1 - 1
PRO
59%
22%
19%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1961 |
VER
1 - 0
FCC
58%
22%
20%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1961 |
BRE
1 - 2
FCC
56%
23%
21%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1961 |
SSS
3 - 4
FCC
49%
22%
28%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |