Fortis Trani vs FC Alessandria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
26.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortis Trani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1964 |
TRI
1 - 1
FOR
63%
20%
18%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1964 |
FOR
3 - 0
PAR
58%
21%
21%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 1964 |
VNZ
1 - 0
FOR
67%
20%
13%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1964 |
FOR
1 - 1
PAD
44%
26%
30%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1964 |
FOR
0 - 0
BRE
43%
27%
31%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
FC Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1964 |
USA
1 - 0
PAD
46%
29%
26%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1964 |
PAL
1 - 3
USA
51%
28%
21%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +2 |
| 11 Oct. 1964 |
FCC
2 - 0
USA
50%
27%
23%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1964 |
USA
3 - 1
PRO
49%
27%
24%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 1964 |
ASS
1 - 1
USA
62%
22%
16%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |