Fortis Trani vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
29.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortis Trani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 1965 |
FOR
1 - 0
ASS
47%
26%
27%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1965 |
FOR
2 - 2
LEC
38%
30%
32%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1965 |
LIV
3 - 0
FOR
49%
27%
25%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 May. 1965 |
SPA
0 - 0
FOR
65%
20%
15%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | +1 |
| 23 May. 1965 |
FOR
0 - 0
POT
41%
27%
32%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1965 |
MOD
1 - 0
BOL
33%
26%
41%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1965 |
LEC
0 - 0
MOD
60%
23%
17%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1965 |
VNZ
0 - 0
MOD
48%
28%
25%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1965 |
MOD
0 - 2
SPA
46%
28%
26%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 May. 1965 |
MOD
0 - 0
BAR
61%
24%
15%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |