Fortis Trani vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
32%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortis Trani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 1966 |
FCC
2 - 2
FOR
52%
27%
21%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1966 |
MAN
2 - 2
FOR
65%
22%
13%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1966 |
FOR
4 - 1
ASS
53%
25%
22%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +2 |
| 15 May. 1966 |
FOR
0 - 0
REG
51%
25%
24%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1966 |
PAL
0 - 0
FOR
53%
26%
20%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 1966 |
GEN
1 - 1
PRO
64%
22%
15%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1966 |
NOV
1 - 1
GEN
34%
29%
38%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1966 |
GEN
1 - 0
PIS
65%
22%
13%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1966 |
PAD
2 - 0
GEN
41%
28%
32%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1966 |
GEN
1 - 0
POT
59%
24%
17%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |