Fortis Juventus vs Virtus Castelfranco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.6%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.4%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
69.5%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortis Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
FOR
0 - 1
LEN
17%
19%
64%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
FOR
2 - 0
FOR
86%
10%
4%
|
18 | 45 | 27 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
FOR
0 - 3
RIB
23%
22%
56%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | -2 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
PAR
5 - 0
FOR
83%
13%
4%
|
20 | 77 | 57 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
FOR
0 - 3
AVI
14%
18%
68%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Virtus Castelfranco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 2
VIR
27%
24%
49%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
VIR
2 - 1
DEL
34%
24%
42%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
SAM
3 - 2
VIR
45%
22%
33%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
VIR
1 - 2
RAV
46%
24%
30%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
IMO
3 - 2
VIR
39%
23%
39%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |