Fortaleza vs Universitario Popayán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.2%
13.3%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2015 |
FOR
2 - 2
BOG
72%
19%
10%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
LEO
2 - 0
FOR
47%
28%
25%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
FOR
2 - 1
REA
70%
19%
11%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2015 |
PAT
1 - 2
FOR
40%
28%
32%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2015 |
BUC
4 - 1
FOR
39%
29%
32%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Universitario Popayán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 0
LEO
33%
29%
38%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
REA
2 - 0
UNI
39%
26%
35%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
QUI
1 - 1
UNI
68%
20%
12%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 2
RSC
39%
27%
34%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 1
PAS
31%
27%
42%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | +2 |