Fortaleza vs Universitario Popayán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
15.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2013 |
PER
1 - 0
FOR
59%
22%
20%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
LLA
2 - 0
FOR
45%
28%
28%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2013 |
FOR
3 - 0
ONC
18%
23%
60%
|
60 | 81 | 21 | +2 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
FOR
0 - 1
PER
38%
27%
35%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2013 |
FOR
0 - 1
TOL
18%
22%
60%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Universitario Popayán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2013 |
UNI
2 - 2
COR
26%
23%
52%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
TFC
2 - 0
UNI
44%
27%
29%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 1
CAL
16%
23%
62%
|
51 | 81 | 30 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 1
LLA
36%
29%
35%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
BOG
3 - 1
UNI
63%
21%
16%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |