Copa Colombia 1/32
Global 4-5
Fortaleza vs Unión Magdalena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
22.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
LEO
2 - 2
FOR
35%
31%
35%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2023 |
FOR
1 - 1
CUC
48%
26%
27%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
FOR
1 - 0
TFC
68%
21%
12%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
QUI
1 - 0
FOR
42%
30%
28%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
FOR
3 - 1
ORS
79%
15%
6%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Magdalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2023 |
ALI
2 - 1
UNI
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 1
JAG
40%
28%
32%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
SFE
0 - 0
UNI
59%
25%
17%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2023 |
UNI
3 - 0
BJC
70%
19%
12%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
BJC
0 - 1
UNI
18%
22%
60%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |