Fortaleza vs Unión Magdalena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
33.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
BOG
1 - 4
FOR
46%
24%
31%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
FOR
1 - 2
COR
41%
26%
33%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
REA
1 - 1
FOR
32%
27%
41%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2021 |
FOR
0 - 0
CHI
43%
26%
31%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
RSC
1 - 1
FOR
25%
27%
47%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Magdalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
UNI
0 - 0
LLA
59%
22%
19%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
CHI
1 - 0
UNI
43%
28%
30%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
UNI
3 - 1
RSC
67%
20%
12%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2021 |
ORS
1 - 2
UNI
27%
27%
47%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
UNI
3 - 3
AFC
71%
19%
10%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |