Fortaleza vs Unión Magdalena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
37.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
LLA
2 - 1
FOR
37%
28%
36%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2021 |
FOR
3 - 2
RSC
42%
27%
31%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2021 |
BAR
1 - 2
FOR
25%
28%
47%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2021 |
FOR
1 - 1
AFC
60%
22%
18%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
COR
3 - 0
FOR
59%
23%
18%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Unión Magdalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
UNI
1 - 0
BOG
60%
23%
17%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
REA
0 - 1
UNI
32%
27%
41%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2021 |
UNI
2 - 1
CAR
61%
22%
16%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2021 |
BJC
0 - 1
UNI
30%
26%
43%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
UNI
1 - 1
ORS
62%
22%
16%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |