Fortaleza vs Unión Magdalena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
23.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
AME
1 - 1
FOR
51%
26%
23%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
FOR
3 - 0
AFC
68%
20%
12%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
FOR
1 - 0
BOG
62%
23%
16%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2015 |
BAR
2 - 0
FOR
23%
28%
49%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2015 |
CAR
2 - 2
FOR
47%
26%
26%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Magdalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 1
AFC
70%
19%
11%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 1
UNI
27%
28%
45%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
TFC
1 - 1
UNI
19%
28%
53%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 0
PER
44%
27%
29%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 0
UNI
34%
29%
38%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | -1 |