Fortaleza vs Unión Magdalena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
19.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2013 |
FOR
1 - 1
QUI
30%
25%
45%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
JAG
1 - 0
FOR
62%
23%
16%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2013 |
TOL
5 - 0
FOR
75%
17%
8%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
FOR
2 - 0
REA
57%
22%
21%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
UNI
2 - 0
FOR
64%
21%
15%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Unión Magdalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2013 |
CAR
5 - 1
UNI
62%
20%
17%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
UNI
0 - 1
LLA
49%
27%
24%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
PER
4 - 0
UNI
70%
19%
11%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 0
RSC
42%
28%
30%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 0
BAR
63%
20%
16%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |