Fortaleza vs Uniautónoma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
31.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 1
FOR
66%
19%
15%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
FOR
3 - 0
LLA
57%
25%
18%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
PER
3 - 0
FOR
48%
26%
26%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
FOR
2 - 1
RSC
58%
24%
18%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 0
FOR
65%
21%
15%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Uniautónoma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2013 |
UNI
2 - 2
AME
43%
26%
32%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 1
RSC
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 3
UNI
62%
20%
18%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
UNI
2 - 1
BUC
54%
24%
21%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
BAR
2 - 2
UNI
18%
22%
60%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |