1a B Cla. Playoffs Final
Global 1-3
Fortaleza vs Uniautónoma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
32.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2013 |
RIO
0 - 0
FOR
53%
24%
23%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
FOR
0 - 0
RIO
42%
25%
33%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2013 |
FOR
1 - 0
CAR
37%
25%
39%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 0
FOR
48%
25%
28%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2013 |
FOR
2 - 0
AME
42%
26%
32%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Uniautónoma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2013 |
AME
2 - 1
UNI
52%
24%
25%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 0
FOR
48%
25%
28%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2013 |
CAR
3 - 3
UNI
60%
20%
20%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 3
CAR
38%
24%
38%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2013 |
FOR
0 - 1
UNI
45%
24%
32%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |