Fortaleza vs Uniautónoma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
28%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
PER
0 - 0
FOR
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
FOR
2 - 0
HUI
31%
25%
45%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
FOR
2 - 1
ACA
50%
25%
25%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
FOR
2 - 3
QUI
37%
26%
38%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
AFC
2 - 1
FOR
27%
27%
46%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Uniautónoma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 0
REA
54%
24%
23%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
JUN
4 - 1
UNI
78%
14%
8%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
SFC
1 - 1
UNI
36%
28%
36%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
UNI
3 - 4
UNI
67%
21%
12%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 1
RSC
58%
21%
21%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |