Fortaleza vs Sucre FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
23.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2012 |
UNI
3 - 0
FOR
27%
27%
46%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2012 |
ONC
3 - 2
FOR
79%
15%
7%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
FOR
2 - 1
UNI
47%
25%
28%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
PER
0 - 0
FOR
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
FOR
2 - 0
HUI
31%
25%
45%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Sucre FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2012 |
SFC
2 - 0
REA
40%
27%
33%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2012 |
AGU
1 - 1
SFC
74%
17%
9%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
UNI
3 - 0
SFC
45%
27%
28%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2012 |
SFC
2 - 2
NAC
16%
23%
61%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
UNI
0 - 0
SFC
34%
27%
39%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |