Fortaleza vs Real Cundinamarca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
21.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
ORS
2 - 0
FOR
32%
28%
40%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
FOR
3 - 0
REA
56%
24%
20%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2019 |
BJC
0 - 1
FOR
31%
29%
40%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
FOR
1 - 0
CAR
35%
27%
38%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2019 |
LEO
0 - 0
FOR
41%
28%
31%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Real Cundinamarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
RSC
1 - 0
BAR
48%
26%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2019 |
QUI
0 - 0
RSC
59%
24%
17%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
AFC
0 - 0
RSC
34%
27%
39%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2019 |
TFC
1 - 2
RSC
46%
28%
26%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2019 |
RSC
1 - 1
PER
18%
25%
57%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | 0 |