Fortaleza vs Real Cundinamarca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
28.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2011 |
FOR
0 - 1
TOL
17%
22%
61%
|
57 | 81 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2011 |
QUI
0 - 1
FOR
68%
19%
13%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2011 |
FOR
1 - 1
REA
43%
25%
31%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2011 |
FOR
3 - 0
PER
38%
25%
37%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
CEN
3 - 2
FOR
55%
24%
21%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Real Cundinamarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2011 |
RSC
1 - 0
PAS
24%
27%
49%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2011 |
RSC
2 - 0
UNI
49%
27%
24%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2011 |
RSC
2 - 1
UNI
51%
28%
22%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2011 |
BAR
0 - 0
RSC
28%
26%
46%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2011 |
PAS
1 - 0
RSC
65%
23%
12%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |