Fortaleza vs Real Santander analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.6%
13%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 1
FOR
33%
27%
40%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
FOR
3 - 1
HUI
56%
25%
20%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
FOR
1 - 2
BOG
63%
20%
17%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
UNI
1 - 0
FOR
48%
24%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2021 |
LLA
0 - 1
FOR
38%
25%
37%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Real Santander
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
REA
0 - 0
TFC
63%
22%
15%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
RSC
1 - 0
REA
39%
27%
34%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
REA
1 - 1
FOR
32%
27%
41%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
CHI
3 - 1
REA
59%
25%
16%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
REA
1 - 1
RSC
50%
25%
26%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |